Your Guide to COP29: A Tamer but Still Tumultuous Affair

African countries are going to COP with a long menu of agenda items to address: the new finance target (NCQG), revised NDCs, adaptation, mitigation and just transitions, loss and damage, and trade. In this explainer we discuss the key issues, points of contention, and some of the African positions ahead of the COP.

Revisiting Article 6 at COP 29: What’s at Stake for Africa?

The Azerbaijan COP presidency has identified carbon offsets and the related operationalisation of Article 6, as a major priority, calling it “the second major expected deliverable of COP 29”. This article sketches the critical issues to be discussed at the COP, including letters of authorisation for the international trade of credits, and GHG removal projects, and Africa’s priorities. 

African Carbon Projects Bear the Brunt of Market Dip

Last year’s carbon market downturn as a result of integrity concerns particularly impacted REDD+ and cookstove projects in Africa, which make up about 90% of its supply. If African countries really want to see a high integrity market that benefits local economies, they need to be working more closely with voluntary regional bodies and intiatives that seek to champion market reforms.

How might COP28’s outcomes impact the Private Sector in Africa?

On the side-lines of the COP, a series of climate finance announcements were made that could advance private sector climate investment on the African continent. Countries were able to reach agreement on key milestones such as renewable energy and energy efficiency which will undoubtedly shape global demand and supply chains. However, stalled progress on carbon markets and Article 6, and weak text on the phase out of fossil fuels may dilute the effectiveness of these milestones.

Africa Carbon Markets Initiative announces 13 action programs

The African Carbon Markets Initiative (ACMI) was launched at COP27 in November last year, with the ambition of having at least 300 million carbon credits from projects on the continent retired annually by 2030. At its Steering Committee meeting in January this year during the Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week, ACMI launched 13 action programmes to achieve this goal. This includes the development of “country carbon activation plans” which Kenya, Gabon, Malawi, Mozambique, Togo, Nigeria, and Burundi have all signed up to do.

Developing countries adopt proactive stance on future carbon markets

Article 6 of the Paris Agreement places greater responsibility for and control over domestic mitigation efforts in the hands of national governments. In response, various developing country governments such as Peru, Papua New Guinea and Indonesia are intervening into their domestic markets to secure locally generated carbon assets to support national climate commitments. This has taken different forms in different countries but most recently includes moratoriums on certain types of projects in Papua New Guinea, and the temporary halting of the issuance of certain credits in Indonesia.

First Meeting of the Article 6.4 Supervisory Body under the Paris Agreement

The initial administrative steps required to kick-start processes under Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement have commenced with the first meeting of the Supervisory Body held between 25 to 28 July 2022, in Bonn, Germany. The newly created Supervisory Body of the Article 6.4 Mechanism has a fundamental role to play in framing the future of the international carbon market. The evolution of the carbon market has direct relevance to African countries, most of which have expressed an intention to rely on Article 6 as part of their NDC implementation plans.